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Economic Outlook and Economic Policy Remarks of R. Glenn Hubbard ...

Source: www.whitehouse.gov
Topic: Economic Policy

Sort Desciption: economic policy? To some extent global markets may be reflecting greater risks associated with. the economic recovery in the United States which has clear ...

Content Inside: Economic Outlook and Economic Policy Remarks of R. Glenn Hubbard Chairman Council of Economic Advisers Macroeconomic Advisers Conference Washington D. C. September 19 2002 Assessing the Economic Outlook It is useful to begin with the broad setting for the U.S. economic outlook and policies. Over the long term productivity growth is the most important determinant of growth and living standards. The structure of an economy including the institutional and legal framework that support markets is the key influence on productivity and thus on the sustainable rate of economic growth. Historically the U.S. model is an undeniable success in this respect. In particular the post-1995 boom in productivity growth in the United States stands out from other industrial economies. Many have attributed this productivity acceleration to the development of new technologies. While this attribution carries a grain of truth businesses around the world can all buy the same technology so the roots of the U.S. advantage lie elsewhere. The U. S. model a flexible market system provides rewards to entrepreneurial private-sector investment that deploy these technologies in productive risk-taking. The preservation and support of these incentives is central to long-term productivity growth. The recent behavior of inflation also bodes well for the long term. Inflation remains low and stable in the United States with minimal impact on economic decisions such as the ability of businesses to plan for the future. The absence of inflation pressures also means that the Federal Reserve would have policy room in which to maneuver in the near term. 2 Regarding the near-term outlook as the Administration does not prepare another official forecast until the next Budget I would like to walk through the expected mechanics of the current recovery and how recent data affect economists forecasts of the recovery. After three consecutive quarters of negative growth in 2001 the U.S. eco ...

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