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Economic Conditions Early in Life and Individual Mortality
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Topic: Economic Conditions
Sort Desciption: Secondly individual socio-economic conditions during early childhood and ... role in the causal chain from economic conditions to health to mortality. ...
Content Inside: 1 Economic Conditions Early in Life and Individual Mortality Gerard J. van den Berg Free University Amsterdam IFAU-Uppsala CEPR IZA IFS Tinbergen Institute Maarten Lindeboom Free University Amsterdam Tinbergen Institute IZA France Portrait Free University Amsterdam Tinbergen Institute January 24 2005 Abstract This paper analyzes the effect of economic conditions early in life on the individual mortality rate later in life using business cycle conditions early in life as an exogenous indicator. We have individual data records from Dutch registers of birth marriage and death certificates covering an observation window of unprecedented size (1812-2000). These are merged with historical data on macro-economic and health indicators. We correct for secular changes over time and other mortality determinants. We non- parametrically compare those born in a recession to those born in the preceding boom and we estimate duration models where the individuals mortality rate depends on current conditions conditions early in life age individual characteristics including individual socio-economic indicators and interaction terms. The results indicate a significant negative effect of economic conditions early in life on individual mortality rates at all ages. Address for correspondence: Gerard J. van den Berg Department of Economics Free University De Boelelaan 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands. E-mail: gberg@feweb.vu.nl. Keywords: death longevity health business cycle recession life expectancy lifetimes epidemics. We thank the Editor two anonymous referees Anne Case Angus Deaton Gabriele Doblhammer Jutta Gampe Paul Gregg Sren Hojgard Jim Oeppen Chris Ruhm and participants at seminars at Princeton University and the Max Planck Institute for Demography (Rostock) and conferences on health and population economics and econometrics in Lund New York and Stockholm for helpful comments and suggestions. Mrta Lopez provided excellent help with the empirical analyses. The ...
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