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Economic Conditions as a Determinant of Political Violence in the ...
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Sort Desciption: the critical role economic conditions play in WBGS as a source motivating attacks ..... economic conditions will reduce the level of resistance to Israels. ...
Content Inside: Economic Conditions as a Determinant of Political Violence in the Palestinian Territories Basel A. Saleh Department of Economics Kansas State University E-mail: basel@ksu.edu CONFERENCE DRAFT: PLEASE DO NOT CITE WITHOUT PERMISSION. For Presentation at the World Institute for Development Economic Research (WIDER) conference Helsinki Finland. June 3-6 2004 Abstract: This paper argues against the findings of Krueger and Maleckova (2002) and that of Berrebi (2003). I provide evidence that Palestinian economic conditions are related to the level of attacks against Israelis. The results of the negative binomial regression suggest that the number of shooting attacks against Israelis will rise with the number of Palestinians killed. However I dont find suicide attacks to be correlated with the number of Palestinians killed. The empirical results indicate that the economic determinants of political violence in the WBGS are significant and their statistical sign conform to the predictions of deprivation theory. Precisely an increase in the Palestinian income per capita will reduce Palestinian attacks against Israelis. Likewise the model predicts that a reduction in the unemployment rate would reduce the incentive for young Palestinians to participate in political violence. I am grateful for the helpful comments I received from Wayne Nafziger Sean Yom Scott Atran and Shelly Regenbaum. - 1 - The policy of curfews and closures is harming Israels security It destroys the agriculture it increases hatred for Israel and it strengthen the terror organizationsIn our tactical decisions we are operating contrary to our strategic interest. Lt. Gen. Moshe Yaalon IDF Chief of Staff I. Heresy In their papers Krueger & Maleckova (2002 henceforth KM) and Berrebi (2003 henceforth B) claim that there is no connection between Palestinian education and economic deprivation for the West Bank and Gaza Strip (WBGS) on the one hand and their suicide and other violent attacks on ...
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