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Port Operations and Economic Conditions
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Economic Conditions and Welfare Reform edited by Sheldon H ...
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Sort Desciption: Economic conditions. affect all three of these issues and the. contributions assess the likely impact of. rising unemployment and other eco- ...
Content Inside: 625 RECENSIONS / BOOK REVIEWS Voir texte plus bas. Economic Conditions and Welfare Reform edited by Sheldon H. D ANZIGER Kalamazoo Michigan: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research 1999 321 pp. + vii ISBN 0-88099-199-2. This volume of papers by some of the best labour economists in the US could hardly be more timely. Just when the 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA) is coming up for its five- year Congressional reauthorization and when the five-year lifetime limits on Temporary Assistance to Needy Fami- lies (TANF) are almost due the Ameri- can economy has begun to slow down. Whether the unexpectedly large declines in the U.S. welfare rolls during the 1990s can be sustained during a reces- sion is anyones guess but these authors use the evidence available as of Novem- ber 1998 to provide an educated one. The outlook is not sanguine. Three guiding questions structure the book. Chapters in the first part consider why caseloads are falling a trend that preceded the actual 1996 welfare reform in the United States. The second section has two papers asking what happens to those who do leave welfare. Most go to work but do not escape poverty. The final set of papers asks how the states are responding to their newly devolved responsibilities. Economic conditions affect all three of these issues and the contributions assess the likely impact of rising unemployment and other eco- nomic factors on caseloads recipients and state policy. Several observations about the vol- ume as a whole are in order. First the authors are meticulous in noting the limitations of their methodologies never mistaking speculation for fact. They forthrightly posit the assumptions un- derlying their projected impacts of a changing business cycle including the inadequacy of the unemployment rate as a measure of labour demand and indi- cate the direction of bias in their esti- mates. Magnitudes of predicted effects are conservativel ...
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